Real World Attention

+-----------------------------------------------------------+
|                REAL WORLD ATTENTION                        |
+-----------------------------------------------------------+
|                                                           |
|   FOMO is engineerable, measurable, exploitable           |
|   RWA = Real World Attention, not Real World Asset        |
|                                                           |
+-----------------------------------------------------------+

Positive Suspicion Chain - How to Manufacture FOMO

Suspicion Chain Theory

From “The Three-Body Problem” fundamental theorem:

“I don’t know if you harbor goodwill; I also don’t know if you think you harbor goodwill; I cannot assume whether you think I harbor goodwill.”

In the “Dark Forest” scenario, the optimal solution is to strike first.

FOMO’s Positive Suspicion Chain

In market FOMO state, an unavoidable buying force forms:

Element	Function
Eliminate communication possibility	No sufficient time to analyze before decision
Zero-sum expectation consensus	Early buyers profit from late buyers’ losses, everyone knows
Unbearable opportunity cost	Cost of missing out is too high

$TRUMP Case Study

The moment Trump coin news drops
        ↓
Market immediately pumps, market cap explodes
        ↓
No time to verify, simple confirmation not hacked
        ↓
Market consensus: External capital will definitely buy
        ↓
Planet leader personally issuing coin, extremely scarce
        ↓
Missing out = Historical loss + Friends laughing at you forever
        ↓
No choice, must buy, maybe even all-in

---

Factors Determining FOMO Intensity

Factor	Impact
Speed of trend formation	Faster → Less time for communication/analysis → Closer to instinct
Scope of angle consensus	How many people agree with trading logic
Event scarcity	More unique and unrepeatable → “Miss it, regret forever”
Crowd capital power	If FOMO crowd has no capital → Price collapses quickly

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Propagation Pricing Model

Greatness cannot be planned, but FOMO can be

Core Formula

Narrative Propagation Pricing P(d):

P(d) = P₀ × e^(-βd) × S^γ × e^(-Rd) × A(d) × V(d)

Where:
├── P₀: Initial pricing at propagation origin (usually highest)
├── e^(-βd): Trust decay factor
├── S^γ: Scarcity factor
├── e^(-Rd): Replicability factor
├── A(d): Audience attraction
└── V(d): Crowd value (capital power)

Key Insights

Greater propagation distance → Higher audience understanding cost
Greater propagation distance → Lower price audience willing to accept

Scarce, unreplicable events targeting specific audiences:
└── Narrative pricing declines slower

Easily replicated, information-complex events:
└── Rapidly depreciate during propagation

Crypto AI Narrative Case Study

November 2024 - February 2025:

1. Create information gap:
   └── VCs use meme coins as vehicle, rapidly push hype, speed-run schemes

2. Exploit cognitive level differences:
   ├── AI professionals
   ├── → Investors who broadly recognize AI is future
   └── → Regular traders who don't truly understand AI but know it's a trend

3. High replicability leads to narrative cooling:
   └── Deepseek etc. go mainstream, flatten cognitive gap, narrative dies

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Real World Attention (RWA)

Definition

The most valuable narratives must attract attention events beyond crypto’s core high-frequency users, capable of “viral propagation” potential, understandable by global average IQ

Understanding RWA

Question	Answer
Why “president coins” “celebrity coins” always have market	Globally predictable cognitive groups, clear angle where missing out is unacceptable
Why non-US artist coins perform poorly	Audience not active on crypto platforms, high cognitive cost, lower pricing
Why event-type tokens perform better	Drama tension crosses crypto, propagation audience is dynamic process, events have natural scarcity
Why complex AI/DeFi narratives struggle to break out	Cognitive cost too high, consensus scope too small, low pricing
Why meme coins with big devs/leads trigger FOMO	Natural positive suspicion chain zero-sum scenario, data tools have no extra cognitive cost

RWA vs RWA

Real World Attention > Real World Asset

Forming attention-based consensus
        is
Much easier than
        forming asset-based consensus

Americans probably can't recognize the asset value of Thai countryside houses
        But
Local teenagers' TikTok meme videos
Americans can probably still resonate with

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Implications for Market and Scheme Operators

Scheme Planning

Step	Content
Set boundaries	Main system struggles with propagation model, carve out part specifically for propagation
Set system	Use meme/NFT fast-rising assets, or incremental pricing mutual-aid (VDS/Fomo3D)
Select angle	Per RWA logic, choose narratives with low information complexity, broad audience coverage
Create events	Manufacture dramatic tension events as propagation vehicles

Traditional CX Projects

Problems:
├── Community leaders need offline meetings to teach and recruit
├── Even innermost circle has high cognitive cost
└── Young people no longer respect "systems, organizations", higher cost propagating outward

Solutions:
├── Reduce model narrative complexity (explainable in 3 sentences)
├── Design zero-sum scenarios that don't need explanation for propagation
└── Design entry as a Real World Attention event

Pure Meme Dev or Infrastructure

Only three resources are truly useful:

Resource	Function
On-chain proactive market makers	High control for speed-run schemes
Network promoters	Actually stir up Real World Attention
Precise trading KOLs + Public media	Activate broad market consensus

Other traditional crypto “fundamental narratives” are basically unimportant, just stories sold to exchanges, market makers, and industry influencers

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Core Formulas

FOMO = Information gap × Zero-sum consensus × Opportunity cost

Propagation Pricing:
├── Greater distance → Higher understanding cost → Lower price
├── Scarce unreplicable → Pricing declines slower
└── Cognitive cost curve crosses pricing line = Narrative death

Real World Attention:
├── More valuable than Real World Assets
├── Most valuable narratives attract global average IQ groups
└── Viral propagation potential

Scheme Principles:
├── Carve out dedicated propagation portion
├── Choose fast-rising asset vehicles
├── Select low information complexity narratives
└── Manufacture dramatic tension events

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Kings and generals, are they born to it?