Solana Ecosystem
+-----------------------------------------------------------+| SOLANA |+-----------------------------------------------------------+| || How POS chains avoid ETH's fate || High control + ecosystem participation = success || |+-----------------------------------------------------------+Solana Supply-Side Analysis
Section titled “Solana Supply-Side Analysis”Solana is a typical POS staking dividend scheme, currently ~7% APY staking rewards.
Cost Structure (Same as ETH)
Section titled “Cost Structure (Same as ETH)”Validator:└── Infrastructure costs (staff, servers)
Staker:├── Staked SOL opportunity cost└── Validator feesUnit SOL acquisition sunk cost is basically zero, facing same costless selling pressure as ETH
Key Difference: Chip Concentration
Section titled “Key Difference: Chip Concentration”| Dimension | Solana | ETH |
|---|---|---|
| Staking rate | 65% | Dispersed |
| Chip distribution | Concentrated in Solana/VC/MM/FTX | 8 years of POW dispersed |
| New output | Always concentrated in stakeholders | Cannot be reclaimed |
Solana Demand-Side Analysis
Section titled “Solana Demand-Side Analysis”Solana, like ETH, is a split scheme, but solves dividend scheme selling pressure completely differently.
Last Cycle: SBF Era
Section titled “Last Cycle: SBF Era”SBF controlled SOL + Alameda/FTX + Race/Jump ↓Incubated lots of high FDV low float projects ↓Alameda personally market made, violent pumps and dumps ↓Created Solana ecosystem's extreme volatilityGot two of three split scheme elements right:
- Raised Sol market Beta returns
- Violent performance made holders reluctant to sell, reduced outflow
This Cycle: Decentralized Market Making
Section titled “This Cycle: Decentralized Market Making”After SBF fell, Solana lost its large-scale secondary market operation sponsor, but:
Starting from Bonk, realized on-chain became bear market battlefield ↓New "Alamedas" atomized ↓Built CT influence matrix:├── Foundation + Founders├── Superteam├── Front-facing YouTuber-style KOLs├── Angel investor-style KOLs└── MMs ↓Relay-promoted "main narratives":├── NFT├── Depin├── Inscriptions└── ShitcoinsKey: All SOL-denominated, low liquidity, fast split schemes needing little pump capital
Why Do This
Section titled “Why Do This”If you launched Solana, your SOL is both abundant and costless:
There's a SHITCOIN/SOL trading pair ↓Use costless SOL to pump it 100x ↓Lots of on-chain capital chases in ↓Very high probability of recouping more profit than investedFour Goals
Section titled “Four Goals”| Goal | Effect |
|---|---|
| Raise market Beta | Profit effect siphons external capital |
| Keep pricing power on-chain | Keep it on native token |
| Holding logic decoupled from token appreciation | Native-denominated asset prices rise |
| Democratize market making | Weaken endorsement center, accelerate split rate |
Why ETH Can’t Do This
Section titled “Why ETH Can’t Do This”ETH Foundation:├── Doesn't have enough chip advantage├── No reclamation channel (POS came too late)├── Miner community that knew how to build projects is gone└── EF and "vassals" have no incentive to do thisSolana’s Potential Crises
Section titled “Solana’s Potential Crises”Water can carry a boat or capsize it:
| Risk | Description |
|---|---|
| Narrative failure | Main pushed narratives don’t bring new assets and pumps (e.g., Blink, Payfi) |
| Pricing power loss | Exchanges try to reclaim USDT-denominated pricing (e.g., SOL-denominated restaking) |
| Ecosystem ossification | Core members’ attitudes change, new devs can’t access, split rate drops |
Core Formulas
Section titled “Core Formulas”Solana success = Chip concentration × Ecosystem participation in market making
Key differences:├── Chips concentrated in stakeholders├── Costless pumping of low-liquidity assets└── Pricing power stays on-chain SOL-denominated
Operational logic:├── Atomized market making├── CT influence matrix relay└── Democratized market making accelerates splitting
Applicable to:└── All high-control POS new tokens, apply to yourselfI’m not pumping Solana, I’m describing the operational methodology for all high-control POS new tokens